
Expert record
Claudia Sahm
Sep 14, 2026
The FOMC will raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points at its September 2026 meeting.
Economy
Claudia Sahm
Sep 14, 2026
A 25 bp hike at the September meeting plus signaling of 1-2 additional hikes if warranted is the appropriate policy path.
Economy
Claudia Sahm
Sep 12, 2026
Federal Reserve rate decisions should ignore the electoral calendar and be based solely on economic data and outlook.
Economy
Claudia Sahm
Sep 7, 2026
Without additional Fed rate hikes, PCE inflation is unlikely to return to 2% within the next one to two years.
Economy
Claudia Sahm
Sep 7, 2026
A modest Fed funds rate increase of 25–75 basis points in the remainder of 2026 is appropriate to bring inflation down.
Economy
Claudia Sahm
Sep 7, 2026
The appropriate policy path shifted to include rate hikes in 2026 and a higher funds rate trajectory thereafter.
Economy
Claudia Sahm
Sep 7, 2026
The Fed will implement a 25 bp hike in September 2026 and potentially total 50-75 bp of additional tightening by year-end.
Economy
Claudia Sahm
Jul 19, 2026
A U.S. recession is unlikely in the near term as of mid-2026.
Economy
No resolved misses yet
No verified predictions match this view.