PUBLICLEDGER
OpenArchive capture
The Fed will implement a 25 bp hike in September 2026 and potentially total 50-75 bp of additional tightening by year-end.
- Expert
- Claudia Sahm
- Prediction date
- Sep 7, 2026
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2026
- Category
- Economy & Rates
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“I view a modest increase in the funds rate, starting with a quarter point in September and maybe 50 or 75 basis points higher in total by the end of the year, as a way to ensure inflation is trending down in a timely way.”
Normalized claim
The Fed will implement a 25 bp hike in September 2026 and potentially total 50-75 bp of additional tightening by year-end.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
Cumulative change in the federal funds target range from the September meeting through December 2026.
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Resolution
This prediction remains open.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2026-09-07 00:00 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-14 23:07 UTC