PUBLICLEDGER
OpenArchive capture
Late 2025 marked the beginning of a new era defined by practical AI agents capable of completing hours of human work.
- Expert
- Ethan Mollick
- Prediction date
- Mar 12, 2026
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2027
- Category
- AI & Technology
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“Starting in late 2025, we entered a new era thanks to AI agents like Claude Code , OpenAI’s Codex, and OpenClaw. These are AI systems that you can just give work to, sometimes hours of human work, and get back reasonable and useful results in minutes.”
Normalized claim
Late 2025 marked the beginning of a new era defined by practical AI agents capable of completing hours of human work.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
Widespread recognition in industry analyses and adoption metrics that 2025–2026 constituted the transition to usable long-horizon AI agents.
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Resolution
This prediction remains open.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2026-03-12 00:00 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-12 23:19 UTC