PUBLICLEDGER
OpenArchive capture
The highest-value AI applications will be novel use cases that were previously impossible rather than direct automation of existing tasks.
- Expert
- Benedict Evans
- Prediction date
- Sep 3, 2026
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2035
- Category
- AI & Technology
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“with every previous platform shift, the stuff that actually mattered was the stuff that wasn't even possible before and that no-one even imagined.”
Normalized claim
The highest-value AI applications will be novel use cases that were previously impossible rather than direct automation of existing tasks.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
By 2035, the largest economic contributions from AI stemming from new categories of activity rather than pure displacement of 2025-era jobs, as assessed in economic analyses.
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Resolution
This prediction remains open.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2026-09-03 21:26 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-12 23:23 UTC