PUBLICLEDGER
OpenArchive capture
AGI will arrive approximately around 2030.
- Expert
- François Chollet
- Prediction date
- Feb 12, 2026
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2030
- Category
- AI & Technology
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“AGI ~2030.”
Normalized claim
AGI will arrive approximately around 2030.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
Recognition of AGI (inability to construct differentiating human-AI tests) occurring near 2030.
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Resolution
This prediction remains open.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2026-02-12 23:13 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-12 23:28 UTC