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AI-driven productivity gains will ultimately lead to more jobs at higher wages through increased demand for output.
- Expert
- Marc Andreessen
- Prediction date
- Jul 11, 2026
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2035
- Category
- AI & Technology
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“Technology increases productivity → cost of output falls → demand for output rises → more total output gets built → more jobs (and at higher wages).”
Normalized claim
AI-driven productivity gains will ultimately lead to more jobs at higher wages through increased demand for output.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
Net employment and real wage growth in AI-adopting economies remaining positive through 2035 despite automation.
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Resolution
This prediction remains open.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2026-07-11 02:10 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-12 23:37 UTC