PROJECT LIGHTHOUSE
Open
Bitcoin price reaches $100,000, then $150,000, then $200,000 within roughly 5–10 years from early 2021.
- Expert
- Chamath Palihapitiya
- Prediction date
- Jan 7, 2021
- Deadline
- Jan 7, 2031
- Category
- Crypto
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“It’s probably going to $100,000, then $150,000, then $200,000. In what period? I don’t know. [Maybe] five or 10 years, but it’s going there.”
Normalized claim
Bitcoin price reaches $100,000, then $150,000, then $200,000 within roughly 5–10 years from early 2021.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
Bitcoin (BTC-USD) closing price on CoinMarketCap or major U.S. exchanges first exceeds each successive threshold.
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Resolution
This prediction remains open.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2021-01-07 00:00 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-11 04:07 UTC