PUBLICLEDGER
OpenArchive capture
Artificial general intelligence (AGI) will be achieved around 2030, plus or minus one year.
- Expert
- Demis Hassabis
- Prediction date
- Jun 22, 2026
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2031
- Category
- AI & Technology
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“I believe that we’re only a few years away from that, maybe 2030, plus or minus a year—which is astounding to think, really.”
Normalized claim
Artificial general intelligence (AGI) will be achieved around 2030, plus or minus one year.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
Consensus declaration by major AI labs (DeepMind, OpenAI, Anthropic, etc.) or independent evaluators that a system has achieved AGI-level performance across a broad range of cognitive tasks by end of 2031.
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Resolution
This prediction remains open.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2026-06-22 00:00 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-12 23:05 UTC