PUBLICLEDGER
OpenArchive capture
Inflation could return to the 5–6% range, driving the 10-year Treasury yield toward 8%.
- Expert
- Nouriel Roubini
- Prediction date
- Jul 15, 2026
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2030
- Category
- Economy & Rates
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“consumer prices could climb back to 5% to 6%, pushing the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield toward 8%.”
Normalized claim
Inflation could return to the 5–6% range, driving the 10-year Treasury yield toward 8%.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
U.S. CPI reaching 5–6% and 10-year Treasury yield approaching 8% at any point by 2030.
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Resolution
This prediction remains open.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2026-07-15 00:00 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-13 00:30 UTC