PUBLICLEDGER
Correct
Coding agents such as Devin increased their share of production code at Cognition from 13% to over 90% within one year.
- Expert
- Marc Andreessen
- Prediction date
- Sep 9, 2026
- Deadline
- Sep 9, 2026
- Category
- AI & Technology
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“In the past year, Devin has gone from writing 13% of Cognition’s production code to more than 90%.”
Resolution
Correct
Stated as a factual internal observation by Andreessen.
Resolved Sep 9, 2026 · 00:00 UTC
Normalized claim
Coding agents such as Devin increased their share of production code at Cognition from 13% to over 90% within one year.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
Company-reported metrics confirming the stated increase in AI-written production code at Cognition Labs.
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2026-09-09 00:00 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-12 23:37 UTC
- Resolution approved2026-09-12 23:37 UTC