Audit trail / Prediction 95ebdcd4
Every state change we record for this receipt, in order. Published prediction substance is immutable; if a correction was needed it appears here with the reason.
“The US national generic congressional ballot on 2026-11-03 will show Democrats leading by 10 or more percentage points.”G. Elliott Morris
Admin approved & published
ADMIN · 2026-09-08 15:42 UTC
Approve: real dated prediction. Source cited a 20–30%+ probability; the underlying claim (10-pt lead in Nov) is what we score. RCP average is a defensible resolution source.