PUBLICLEDGER
Open
Upward pressure on government bond yields will persist due to supply-demand imbalances and lack of fiscal consolidation.
- Expert
- Mohamed El-Erian
- Prediction date
- Sep 7, 2026
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2027
- Category
- Economy & Rates
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“I suspect we will continue to see upward pressures on yields.”
Normalized claim
Upward pressure on government bond yields will persist due to supply-demand imbalances and lack of fiscal consolidation.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
10-year Treasury or major sovereign yields remaining elevated or rising further through 2027 relative to mid-2026 levels.
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Resolution
This prediction remains open.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2026-09-07 00:00 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-12 23:48 UTC