PROJECT LIGHTHOUSE
Open
Tesla unsupervised Full Self-Driving is widespread across the United States by the end of 2026.
- Expert
- Elon Musk
- Prediction date
- May 18, 2026
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2026
- Category
- AI & Technology
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“Musk claimed that Tesla’s unsupervised “Full Self-Driving” will be “widespread in the US by the end of this year””
Normalized claim
Tesla unsupervised Full Self-Driving is widespread across the United States by the end of 2026.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
Tesla operational data or regulatory filings showing unsupervised FSD robotaxi or consumer service available to a majority of the U.S. population by 2026-12-31.
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Resolution
This prediction remains open.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2026-05-18 00:00 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-11 04:34 UTC