PUBLICLEDGER
OpenArchive capture
Without fiscal consolidation, bond yields will rise further and crowd out domestic demand.
- Expert
- Nouriel Roubini
- Prediction date
- Sep 6, 2026
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2028
- Category
- Economy & Rates
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“If that doesn't happen, then bond yields can go higher and that could put pressure and crowd out some of the domestic demand”
Normalized claim
Without fiscal consolidation, bond yields will rise further and crowd out domestic demand.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
Further increase in major sovereign yields accompanied by measurable demand softening if deficits remain unaddressed through 2028.
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Resolution
This prediction remains open.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2026-09-06 00:00 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-13 00:30 UTC