PUBLICLEDGER
OpenArchive capture
Bitcoin will reach a market capitalization of approximately $16 trillion by 2030 (base case).
- Expert
- Cathie Wood
- Prediction date
- Jan 1, 2026
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2030
- Category
- Crypto
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“base case for Bitcoin’s market capitalization at $16 trillion in 2030”
Normalized claim
Bitcoin will reach a market capitalization of approximately $16 trillion by 2030 (base case).
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
Bitcoin market capitalization equaling or exceeding $16 trillion by December 31, 2030, calculated from circulating supply and price on major exchanges.
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Resolution
This prediction remains open.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2026-01-01 00:00 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-12 23:48 UTC