PROJECT LIGHTHOUSE
Open
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the 2028 U.S. presidential election.
- Expert
- David Friedberg
- Prediction date
- Aug 31, 2026
- Deadline
- Jan 20, 2029
- Category
- Politics & Elections
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“his prediction that Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the 2028 presidency”
Normalized claim
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the 2028 U.S. presidential election.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
Official Electoral College results and certification of the 2028 U.S. presidential election winner by the U.S. Congress / National Archives.
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Resolution
This prediction remains open.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2026-08-31 00:00 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-11 04:28 UTC