PROJECT LIGHTHOUSE
Open
OpenAI achieves an automated AI research intern by September 2026 and a true automated AI researcher by March 2028.
- Expert
- Sam Altman
- Prediction date
- Oct 29, 2025
- Deadline
- Mar 31, 2028
- Category
- AI & Technology
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“Yesterday we did a livestream. TL;DR: We have set internal goals of having an automated AI research intern by September of 2026 running on hundreds of thousands of GPUs, and a true automated AI researcher by March of 2028. We may totally fail at this goal, but given the extraordinary potential impacts we think it is in the public interest to be transparent about this.”
Normalized claim
OpenAI achieves an automated AI research intern by September 2026 and a true automated AI researcher by March 2028.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
OpenAI public announcements, blog posts, or technical reports confirming deployment of systems meeting the described internal goals (automated research intern / full automated researcher).
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Resolution
This prediction remains open.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2025-10-29 17:19 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-11 04:50 UTC