PROJECT LIGHTHOUSE
Incorrect
Unsupervised FSD allowing passengers to sleep while the car drives to the destination is available in many U.S. cities by end of 2025.
- Expert
- Elon Musk
- Prediction date
- Apr 22, 2025
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2025
- Category
- AI & Technology
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“The acid test is, can you go to sleep in your car and wake up in your destination and I'm confident that will be available in many cities in the US by the end of this year.”
Resolution
Incorrect
No unsupervised sleep-capable FSD was available in multiple U.S. cities by end of 2025; safety monitors or driver attention requirements remained.
Resolved Dec 31, 2025 · 23:59 UTC
Normalized claim
Unsupervised FSD allowing passengers to sleep while the car drives to the destination is available in many U.S. cities by end of 2025.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
Tesla FSD software release notes or regulatory approval enabling unsupervised sleep-capable operation in multiple U.S. cities by 2025-12-31.
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2025-04-22 00:00 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-11 04:34 UTC
- Resolution approved2026-09-11 04:34 UTC