PROJECT LIGHTHOUSE
TakeOpen
AI will not kill all humans by 2030.
Editor's noteImputed resolution_date as 2030-12-31 from the phrase 'by 2030'; imputed resolution_criteria as UN population data because UN population releases are the standard public source for global population counts.
- Expert
- Gary Marcus
- Prediction date
- Sep 10, 2026
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2030
- Category
- AI & Technology
- Explicit confidence
- categorical ('is not going to')
Original statement
“No, Anderson Cooper, AI is not going to kill all humans by 2030. A dissection of Jacob Coxon’s and co’s actual arguments at https://t.co/XwHo7eSObG pic.twitter.com/0mL5FJOrwZ”
Normalized claim
AI will not kill all humans by 2030.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
UN World Population Prospects (or other UN population releases) showing global human population = 0
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Resolution
This prediction remains open.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2026-09-10 15:55 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-10 16:20 UTC