PUBLICLEDGER
OpenArchive capture
Artificial general intelligence remains decades away from being achieved.
- Expert
- Andrew Ng
- Prediction date
- Jan 15, 2024
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2040
- Category
- AI & Technology
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“I think AGI is still decades away.”
Normalized claim
Artificial general intelligence remains decades away from being achieved.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
No consensus achievement of AGI by major AI labs or independent evaluators before 2040.
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Resolution
This prediction remains open.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2024-01-15 00:00 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-13 00:35 UTC