PUBLICLEDGER
Open
With AI agents writing the majority of code, individual engineers will achieve roughly 10× productivity gains relative to pre-agent baselines.
- Expert
- Marc Andreessen
- Prediction date
- Sep 9, 2026
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2029
- Category
- AI & Technology
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“When agents write 90% of the code, engineers can literally do ten times as much. The 10x engineer becomes the 100x engineer”
Normalized claim
With AI agents writing the majority of code, individual engineers will achieve roughly 10× productivity gains relative to pre-agent baselines.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
Industry productivity studies or company reports showing order-of-magnitude increases in engineer output attributable to coding agents by 2029.
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Resolution
This prediction remains open.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2026-09-09 00:00 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-12 23:37 UTC