PUBLICLEDGER
OpenArchive capture
OpenAI / humanity builds superintelligence by approximately 2035.
- Expert
- Sam Altman
- Prediction date
- Dec 11, 2025
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2035
- Category
- AI & Technology
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“In ten more years, I believe we are almost certain to build superintelligence.”
Normalized claim
OpenAI / humanity builds superintelligence by approximately 2035.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
Widely accepted demonstration or declaration by major labs of systems exceeding human intelligence across essentially all domains by 2035.
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Resolution
This prediction remains open.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2025-12-11 00:00 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-11 04:50 UTC