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By around 2030, Ethereum’s state will consist of ~2 TB traditional dynamic state plus up to 100 TB of newer efficient state types.
- Expert
- Vitalik Buterin
- Prediction date
- Jul 4, 2026
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2030
- Category
- Crypto
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“by around 2030 Ethereum might maintain roughly 2 terabytes of traditional dynamic state while supporting up to 100 terabytes of the newer, more efficient state types.”
Normalized claim
By around 2030, Ethereum’s state will consist of ~2 TB traditional dynamic state plus up to 100 TB of newer efficient state types.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
Ethereum client and explorer data (e.g., beaconcha.in, Etherscan, or official node metrics) showing total state size approximating those figures around 2030.
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Resolution
This prediction remains open.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2026-07-04 00:00 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-11 04:54 UTC