PUBLICLEDGER
OpenArchive capture
AGI is probably only a few short years away from being achieved.
- Expert
- Demis Hassabis
- Prediction date
- Jul 14, 2026
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2030
- Category
- AI & Technology
- Explicit confidence
- Not stated
Original statement
“Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), a system that exhibits all the cognitive capabilities the brain has, is probably only a few short years away.”
Normalized claim
AGI is probably only a few short years away from being achieved.
A falsifiable interpretation, separate from the exact source text.
Resolution criteria
Public demonstration or formal claim by DeepMind/Alphabet or peer consensus of a system matching human-level cognitive capabilities across domains by 2030.
Market context
No high-confidence matching market is linked. Loose thematic matches are not shown.
Resolution
This prediction remains open.
Audit trailView full history
- Source recorded2026-07-14 09:10 UTC
- Prediction verified and frozen2026-09-12 23:05 UTC