Expert record
Bill Gates
@BillGatesunverifiedTechnologist and philanthropist
AI & Technology
- Accuracy
- —
- Resolved
- 0 / 0
- Correct / resolved
- Predictions
- 19
- Scored
- Takes
- 1
- Displayed, not scored
- Open
- 19
Latest calls
Bill Gates
Aug 29, 2026
Robots capable of competing with humans in physical jobs (construction, hospitality, etc.) will arrive within a couple of years (by ~2028–2029).
AI / Tech
Open
Bill Gates
Aug 26, 2026
The risk of AI-enabled bioterrorism is currently approximately 50 times higher than the risk of a natural pandemic.
Science
Open
Bill Gates
Aug 26, 2026
In the majority of occupations, AI will eventually perform the work at a level vastly superior to humans.
AI / Tech
Open
Bill Gates
Aug 26, 2026
AI will cause many existing job categories to disappear permanently.
AI / Tech
Open
Bill Gates
Aug 26, 2026
The transition to the AI era will rank among the most turbulent periods in human history.
AI / Tech
Open
Bill Gates
Aug 26, 2026
AI-driven job displacement in white-collar and subsequently blue-collar industries will occur over roughly one decade.
AI / Tech
Open
Bill Gates
Aug 26, 2026
Smart robots will begin competing with humans on physical tasks in construction and hospitality by around 2030.
AI / Tech
Open
Bill Gates
Aug 26, 2026
Society will deliberately reserve certain jobs or tasks exclusively for humans (“human-reserved” domain).
AI / Tech
Open
Notable hits
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Largest misses
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